Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by end of 2026?72%·Will AI pass the Turing Test by 2027?55%·Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2026?45%·Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?45%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?45%·Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0%·Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?7%·Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54%·Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026?55%·Will the global average temperature in 2027 be the hottest on record?40%·Fed decision in Oct 2026?60%·Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?35%·Will the US House of Representatives flip control in 2026?48%·Will a major US bank fail in 2027?10%·Will the next James Bond actor be announced by 2027?80%·Recession in the US in 2026?35%·Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before 2027?25%·Will the US GDP growth rate be above 2.5% in 2027?45%·More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?48%·Putin out as President of Russia by 2027?15%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by end of 2026?72%·Will AI pass the Turing Test by 2027?55%·Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2026?45%·Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?45%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?45%·Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0%·Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?7%·Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54%·Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026?55%·Will the global average temperature in 2027 be the hottest on record?40%·Fed decision in Oct 2026?60%·Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?35%·Will the US House of Representatives flip control in 2026?48%·Will a major US bank fail in 2027?10%·Will the next James Bond actor be announced by 2027?80%·Recession in the US in 2026?35%·Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before 2027?25%·Will the US GDP growth rate be above 2.5% in 2027?45%·More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?48%·Putin out as President of Russia by 2027?15%·

Will Anthropic and OpenAI have a higher combined valuation than Microsoft on Dec 31, 2026?

A comparison of the leading AI labs' private valuations against the public market capitalization of Microsoft.

AI

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Status

active

Closes

Dec 31

Price History

Real-time YES/NO price movements

No price history available yet

Current Probabilities
YES35%

$0.35

NO65%

$0.65

Latest funding round data for private companies vs public market cap at year-end.

Place Trade

Outcome

Cost$0.35
Fee (2%)$0.01
Total Cost$0.36

• Market closes 12/31/2026

• You can sell your shares anytime before market closes

• Settlement happens upon market resolution