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Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?

This market tracks the official US unemployment rate as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the final month of 2026.

Economics

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Status

active

Closes

Jan 5

Price History

Real-time YES/NO price movements

No price history available yet

Current Probabilities
YES35%

$0.35

NO65%

$0.65

Resolves to YES if the reported unemployment rate for December 2026 is strictly greater than 4.5%.

Place Trade

Outcome

Cost$0.35
Fee (2%)$0.01
Total Cost$0.36

• Market closes 1/5/2027

• You can sell your shares anytime before market closes

• Settlement happens upon market resolution