Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by end of 2026?72%·Will AI pass the Turing Test by 2027?55%·Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2026?45%·Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?45%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?45%·Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0%·Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?7%·Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54%·Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026?55%·Will the global average temperature in 2027 be the hottest on record?40%·Fed decision in Oct 2026?60%·Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?35%·Will the US House of Representatives flip control in 2026?48%·Will a major US bank fail in 2027?10%·Will the next James Bond actor be announced by 2027?80%·Recession in the US in 2026?35%·Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before 2027?25%·Will the US GDP growth rate be above 2.5% in 2027?45%·More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?48%·Putin out as President of Russia by 2027?15%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by end of 2026?72%·Will AI pass the Turing Test by 2027?55%·Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2026?45%·Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?45%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?45%·Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0%·Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?7%·Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54%·Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026?55%·Will the global average temperature in 2027 be the hottest on record?40%·Fed decision in Oct 2026?60%·Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?35%·Will the US House of Representatives flip control in 2026?48%·Will a major US bank fail in 2027?10%·Will the next James Bond actor be announced by 2027?80%·Recession in the US in 2026?35%·Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before 2027?25%·Will the US GDP growth rate be above 2.5% in 2027?45%·More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?48%·Putin out as President of Russia by 2027?15%·

Markets

Browse and trade on real-world outcomes

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?

Economics
YES: 48.0%
NO: 52.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economics
YES: 55.0%
NO: 45.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Putin out as President of Russia by 2027?

Geopolitics
YES: 15.0%
NO: 85.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Recession in the US in 2026?

Economics
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Geopolitics
YES: 45.0%
NO: 55.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Economics
YES: 60.0%
NO: 40.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 24 days

US-Iran ceasefire continues through 2026?

Geopolitics
YES: 70.0%
NO: 30.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will a major US bank fail in 2027?

Finance
YES: 10.0%
NO: 90.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Finance
YES: 7.0%
NO: 93.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the US GDP growth rate be above 2.5% in 2027?

Economics
YES: 45.0%
NO: 55.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in over 1 year

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
YES: 45.0%
NO: 55.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the global average temperature in 2027 be the hottest on record?

Climate
YES: 40.0%
NO: 60.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in over 1 year

Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?

Economics
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before 2027?

AI
YES: 25.0%
NO: 75.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the price of Brent Crude Oil be above $90/barrel on Dec 31, 2026?

Economics
YES: 30.0%
NO: 70.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the US House of Representatives flip control in 2026?

Elections
YES: 48.0%
NO: 52.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 27 days

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Elections
YES: 0.2%
NO: 99.8%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in almost 2 years

Will the next James Bond actor be announced by 2027?

Entertainment
YES: 80.0%
NO: 20.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2026?

Crypto
YES: 45.0%
NO: 55.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics
YES: 54.0%
NO: 46.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Milwaukee vs Chicago C

Sports
Milwaukee Bucks 0-Chicago Bulls 0
October 14, 2026 8:00 PM
Milwaukee: 52.0%
Chicago C: 48.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will a major AI model pass the Turing Test by 2027?

AI
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics
YES: 43.0%
NO: 57.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will global average temperatures exceed 1.5C above pre-industrial levels in 2027?

Climate
YES: 75.0%
NO: 25.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will the US pass a federal privacy law by 2027?

Law
YES: 40.0%
NO: 60.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will the US enter a recession in 2026?

Economics
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Brazil Presidential Election winner

Elections
YES: 57.0%
NO: 43.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 25 days

SpaceX IPO date in 2026?

Business
YES: 8.0%
NO: 92.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Quebec General Election: QS wins a seat?

Elections
YES: 85.0%
NO: 15.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Bitcoin reach $150k by end of 2026?

Crypto
YES: 42.0%
NO: 58.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

OKX IPO in 2026?

Crypto
YES: 22.0%
NO: 78.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will AI achieve AGI by 2027?

AI
YES: 18.0%
NO: 82.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Finance
YES: 5.0%
NO: 95.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the US national debt exceed $40 trillion in 2026?

Economics
YES: 75.0%
NO: 25.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

Economics
YES: 64.0%
NO: 36.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in over 2 years

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Politics
YES: 41.0%
NO: 59.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in over 2 years

Will Congressional salaries increase?

Politics
YES: 52.0%
NO: 48.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 3 years

Which company will be acquired before 2027?

Business
YES: 46.0%
NO: 54.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economics
YES: 86.0%
NO: 14.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Geopolitics
YES: 15.0%
NO: 85.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 9 months

Will OpenAI release GPT-6 by end of 2027?

AI
YES: 45.0%
NO: 55.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

California Governor Election Winner 2026

Elections
YES: 95.0%
NO: 5.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 27 days

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31, 2026?

Finance
YES: 84.0%
NO: 16.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Bitcoin hit $150,000 in 2026?

Crypto
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

Elections
YES: 55.0%
NO: 45.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

Technology
YES: 52.0%
NO: 48.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Culture
YES: 10.0%
NO: 90.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Bitcoin reach $150k by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
YES: 12.0%
NO: 88.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
YES: 34.0%
NO: 66.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
YES: 14.0%
NO: 86.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Finance
YES: 17.0%
NO: 83.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Elections
YES: 45.0%
NO: 55.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in almost 2 years

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
YES: 22.0%
NO: 78.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Bitcoin reach $150k by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
YES: 3.0%
NO: 97.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will SpaceX launch Starship flight 7 by December 31, 2026?

Science
YES: 71.0%
NO: 29.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the US enter a recession in 2027?

Economics
YES: 30.0%
NO: 70.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Elections
YES: 95.0%
NO: 5.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 27 days

Will there be exactly 0 Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economics
YES: 85.0%
NO: 15.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will a law banning sports prediction markets be enacted in 2026?

Law
YES: 30.0%
NO: 70.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Trump eliminate capital gains tax on crypto by end of 2026?

Crypto
YES: 45.0%
NO: 55.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the Icelandic European Union membership referendum pass in 2026?

Geopolitics
YES: 40.0%
NO: 60.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?

Elections
YES: 70.0%
NO: 30.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 27 days

Will there be a record crypto liquidation event in 2026?

Crypto
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the Maine Senate and Governor Combo result in a Democratic sweep in 2026?

Elections
YES: 55.0%
NO: 45.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 27 days

Will the Alaska Senate and Governor Combo result in a Republican sweep in 2026?

Elections
YES: 65.0%
NO: 35.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 27 days

Will Polymarket's mindshare reach a new high by December 31, 2026?

Technology
YES: 75.0%
NO: 25.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Sports
Loading scores...
Barcelona: 17.0%
Arsenal: 83.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 8 months

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by 2027?

Crypto
YES: 40.0%
NO: 60.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Elections
YES: 50.0%
NO: 50.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 28 days

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Sports
Los Angeles Rams: 15.0%
Buffalo Bills: 85.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 4 months

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

AI
YES: 50.0%
NO: 50.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

EPL: 2027 Champion

Sports
Arsenal: 52.0%
Manchester City: 48.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 8 months

US headline CPI inflation in December 2027

Economics
YES: 55.0%
NO: 45.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

Technology
YES: 50.0%
NO: 50.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by June 30, 2027?

Health
YES: 12.0%
NO: 88.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 9 months

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2027?

Crypto
YES: 42.0%
NO: 58.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will the Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal by December 31, 2027?

Geopolitics
YES: 55.0%
NO: 45.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will a human land on Mars by 2030?

Science
YES: 8.0%
NO: 92.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 4 years

Will AI achieve AGI status by December 31, 2027?

AI
YES: 15.0%
NO: 85.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize be awarded to a climate activist?

Awards
YES: 30.0%
NO: 70.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will a major social media platform be banned in the US by 2028?

Social Media
YES: 28.0%
NO: 72.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will the Euro reach parity with the USD in 2027?

Finance
YES: 40.0%
NO: 60.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Dota 2: The International 2027 Winner

Gaming
YES: 12.0%
NO: 88.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will Bitcoin reach $150k by end of 2027?

Crypto
YES: 38.0%
NO: 62.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will Apple acquire a major AI company in 2027?

Business
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will the UK hold a general election in 2027?

Politics
YES: 18.0%
NO: 82.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will a cure for a major cancer type be approved by the FDA in 2027?

Health
YES: 8.0%
NO: 92.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Fed Interest Rate Decision in December 2026

Economics
YES: 55.0%
NO: 45.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 2 months

Will TikTok be banned in the US by end of 2027?

Social Media
YES: 22.0%
NO: 78.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

NBA: 2027 Champion

Sports
YES: 15.0%
NO: 85.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 9 months

Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before 2028?

AI
YES: 42.0%
NO: 58.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 1 year

Will Bitcoin be more valuable than any company before 2027?

Crypto
YES: 30.0%
NO: 70.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal by December 31, 2026?

Geopolitics
YES: 25.0%
NO: 75.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will SCOTUS accept a sports event contract case by the end of 2026?

Law
YES: 60.0%
NO: 40.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Who will be the #1 searched person on Google in the US for 2026?

Culture
YES: 15.0%
NO: 85.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Epstein storage units be raided in 2026?

Law
YES: 10.0%
NO: 90.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Anthropic and OpenAI have a higher combined valuation than Microsoft on Dec 31, 2026?

AI
YES: 35.0%
NO: 65.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will Polymarket's mindshare reach a new all-time high by December 31, 2026?

Other
YES: 70.0%
NO: 30.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will sports prediction markets be taxed as gambling by the end of 2026?

Law
YES: 40.0%
NO: 60.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in 3 months

Will the S&P 500 reach a target of $4,633.49 by 2028?

Finance
YES: 39.0%
NO: 61.0%

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Closes in about 2 years
Live Activity

Recent trades across all markets

Unknown Market
YES

1 shares @ $0.50

$1

3 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

1 shares @ $0.50

$1

3 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

1 shares @ $0.50

$1

3 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

10 shares @ $0.50

$5

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

5 shares @ $0.50

$3

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

10 shares @ $0.50

$5

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

2 shares @ $0.50

$1

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

2 shares @ $0.50

$1

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

1 shares @ $0.50

$1

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

11 shares @ $0.50

$6

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

1 shares @ $0.50

$1

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

4 shares @ $0.50

$2

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

4 shares @ $0.50

$2

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

10 shares @ $0.50

$5

5 months ago

Unknown Market
YES

1 shares @ $0.50

$1

5 months ago