Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by end of 2026?72%·Will AI pass the Turing Test by 2027?55%·Will the US enter a recession in 2026?35%·Will the global average temperature in 2027 be the hottest on record?40%·Will the next James Bond actor be announced by 2027?80%·Will global average temperatures exceed 1.5C above pre-industrial levels in 2027?75%·Will the US House of Representatives flip control in 2026?48%·Brazil Presidential Election winner57%·Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?7%·Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2026?45%·Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?35%·Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54%·Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43%·Will the price of Brent Crude Oil be above $90/barrel on Dec 31, 2026?30%·Will the US pass a federal privacy law by 2027?40%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?45%·Milwaukee vs Chicago C52%·Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0%·Will a major US bank fail in 2027?10%·Will the US GDP growth rate be above 2.5% in 2027?45%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by end of 2026?72%·Will AI pass the Turing Test by 2027?55%·Will the US enter a recession in 2026?35%·Will the global average temperature in 2027 be the hottest on record?40%·Will the next James Bond actor be announced by 2027?80%·Will global average temperatures exceed 1.5C above pre-industrial levels in 2027?75%·Will the US House of Representatives flip control in 2026?48%·Brazil Presidential Election winner57%·Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?7%·Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2026?45%·Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in December 2026?35%·Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54%·Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?43%·Will the price of Brent Crude Oil be above $90/barrel on Dec 31, 2026?30%·Will the US pass a federal privacy law by 2027?40%·Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?45%·Milwaukee vs Chicago C52%·Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0%·Will a major US bank fail in 2027?10%·Will the US GDP growth rate be above 2.5% in 2027?45%·

Will sports prediction markets be taxed as gambling by the end of 2026?

Predicts potential regulatory and tax code changes regarding the classification of event contracts.

Law

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Status

active

Closes

Dec 31

Price History

Real-time YES/NO price movements

No price history available yet

Current Probabilities
YES40%

$0.40

NO60%

$0.60

Legislative passage of a new tax law or a definitive IRS ruling.

Place Trade

Outcome

Cost$0.40
Fee (2%)$0.01
Total Cost$0.41

• Market closes 12/31/2026

• You can sell your shares anytime before market closes

• Settlement happens upon market resolution