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Will the Icelandic European Union membership referendum pass in 2026?

This market tracks the outcome of a potential national referendum in Iceland regarding joining the European Union [election Prediction Markets & Live Odds 2026 | Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/election).

Geopolitics

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Status

active

Closes

Dec 31

Price History

Real-time YES/NO price movements

No price history available yet

Current Probabilities
YES40%

$0.40

NO60%

$0.60

Resolution is based on the official results published by the Icelandic government following the referendum [election Prediction Markets & Live Odds 2026 | Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/election).

Place Trade

Outcome

Cost$0.40
Fee (2%)$0.01
Total Cost$0.41

• Market closes 12/31/2026

• You can sell your shares anytime before market closes

• Settlement happens upon market resolution