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Will a new AI model reach AGI status in 2026?

A market on whether a major AI research lab will announce a model that meets the consensus criteria for Artificial General Intelligence.

AI

Volume

$0

Traders

0

Status

active

Closes

Dec 31

Price History

Real-time YES/NO price movements

No price history available yet

Current Probabilities
YES12%

$0.12

NO88%

$0.88

Resolves to Yes if a consensus of experts and major news outlets confirm the milestone.

Place Trade

Outcome

Cost$0.12
Fee (2%)$0.00
Total Cost$0.12

• Market closes 12/31/2026

• You can sell your shares anytime before market closes

• Settlement happens upon market resolution